UK and the EU

"The UK should have closer economic ties with the European Union, even if that means giving up some sovereignty"

  • 498 of 631 constituencies (79%) in Great Britain have a majority or plurality of people with this view.
  • 346 of 411 (84%) of Labour constituencies have a majority or relative majority of people holding this opinion, including 165 of 218 (76%) of the seats Labour gained at the election.
  • In polling this view is held by 69% of 2024 Labour voters and 52% of the population overall.

"The UK should NOT have closer economic ties with the European Union if it involves giving up sovereignty, even if that involves some economic cost to the UK"

  • 133 of 631 (21%) of GB constituencies have this position as a majority or plurality views.
  • 65 of 411 (16%) Labour held constituencies have this view, including 53 of the 218 seats the party gained at the election.
  • In polling, 39% of voters have this view and 24% of Labour 2024 voters, with 9% and 7% of those groups respectively feeling neither of these statements represents their view.

In the map below you can see MRP results for individual constituencies, highlighting seats held by each party and seats which switched hands at the recent elections. You can see these same results in the table below.



Full data

You can download the full data underlying these graphics here.

Methodology

A 20,000 person survey was conducted by FocalData in the week of the 1st July 2024. MRP (Multilevel Regression with Post-stratification) was used to analyse demographic trends and therefore establish an indicative result for each Parliamentary constituency. This is fundamentally the same technique that is regularly used to derive seat-level estimates of voting intention.

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