Immigration

"Immigration has generally enriched society"

  • This is the majority or plurality view in 130 of 631 (21%) constituencies in Great Britain constituencies
  • 98 of 411 Labour (24%) held constituencies have a majority or plurality of people with this view, including 18 of the 218 (8%) of Labour gains in 2024.
  • A plurality of Labour voters share this view, with 48% of 2024 Labour voters believing this over the opposing statement.

"Immigration has generally undermined society"

  • This is a majority/plurality view in 501 of 631 (79%) of constituencies
  • 313 of 411 Labour constituencies (76%) share this view as a majority or relative majority opinion, including 200 of the seats they gained (92%).
  • However, only 34% of 2024 Labour voters err to this opinion, with 14% saying neither this nor the opposite statement captures their opinion.

It should be noted that on this question perhaps above all others in this research, opinion will be complex and dynamic. This is just one measure of opinion on this topic.

In the map below you can see MRP results for individual constituencies, highlighting seats held by each party and seats which switched hands at the recent elections. You can see these same results in the table below.


Full data

You can download the full data underlying these graphics here.

Methodology

A 20,000 person survey was conducted by FocalData in the week of the 1st July 2024. MRP (Multilevel Regression with Post-stratification) was used to analyse demographic trends and therefore establish an indicative result for each Parliamentary constituency. This is fundamentally the same technique that is regularly used to derive seat-level estimates of voting intention.

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